Why Didn't Geneva CUSD 304 Use Their Consultant's Enrollment Projections for the 2007 Referendum?

Who was responsible for enrollment projections provided to the community?

Summary: Dr. John Kasarda was hired to analyze past and future enrollment trends in anticipation of the 2007 referendum.  Kasarda’s 2006 report was not released to the community. The referendum was about building two elementary schools in additional to renovations of existing schools and technology.  The administration and board stated that the enrollment projections they used were verified by Dr. Kasarda. When the 2006 report was released on March 19, 2012 and the numbers were compared, the projections used were much higher that any of those submitted by Dr. Kasarda. The unknown factor is whether the high projections led the public to conclude it was essential to build? The referendum passed by only 100 votes.  The Geneva School District projections were critical points on which voters based their decision to proceed with building two new elementary schools and begin other renovations. The referendum was projected to cost about $80 million (sixty percent for the two schools and forty percent for the other items).

Attachments:

Comparison- District vs Kasarda.pdf

Kasarda Revised 2012 - 2021 projections graph.pdf

Board Minutes About 2007 Referendum.pdf